CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS

CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS

Page:

      CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS FOR THE INDUSTRY

1

~ .... HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA

2

~ .... Historic Balance Sheet

3

~ ~ ...... Historic Costs & Margins

4

~ ~ ........ Historic Financial Ratios & Margins

5

~ ~ .......... Historic Operational Ratios & Margins

6

~ .... Financial forecast notes

7

~ .... CASHFLOW OPTIONS SCENARIO FORECASTS : Current to 2028

8

~ .... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Balance Sheet Forecast

9

~ ...... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Operational Costs Forecast

10

~ ........ Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Financial Ratios

11

~ .......... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Operational Margins

12

~ .... New Capital Injection Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

13

~ ...... New Capital Injection Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

14

~ ........ New Capital Injection Scenarios Financial Ratios

15

~ .......... New Capital Injection Scenarios Operational Margins

16

~ .... Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

17

~ ...... Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

18

~ ........ Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios Financial Ratios

19

~ .......... Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios Operational Margins

20

~ .... Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

21

~ ...... Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

22

~ ........ Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios Financial Ratios

23

~ .......... Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios Operational Margins

24

~ .... Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

25

~ ...... Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

26

~ ........ Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios Financial Ratios

27

~ .......... Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios Operational Margins

28

~ .... Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

29

~ ...... Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

30

~ ........ Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios Financial Ratios

31

~ .......... Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios Operational Margins

32

~ .... Long-Term Loan Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

33

~ ...... Long-Term Loan Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

34

~ ........ Long-Term Loan Scenarios Financial Ratios

35

~ .......... Long-Term Loan Scenarios Operational Margins

36

~ .... Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

37

~ ...... Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

38

~ ........ Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios Financial Ratios

39

~ .......... Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios Operational Margins

40

~ .... Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

41

~ ...... Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

42

~ ........ Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios Financial Ratios

43

~ .......... Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios Operational Margins

44

~ .... Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

45

~ ...... Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

46

~ ........ Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios Financial Ratios

47

~ .......... Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios Operational Margins

48

~ .... Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

49

~ ...... Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

50

~ ........ Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios Financial Ratios

51

~ .......... Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios Operational Margins

52

~ .... Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

53

~ ...... Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

54

~ ........ Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios Financial Ratios

55

~ .......... Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios Operational Margins

56

~ .... Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

57

~ ...... Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

58

~ ........ Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios Financial Ratios

59

~ .......... Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios Operational Margins

61

~ .... Financial data definitions

INDEX

 FINANCIAL DEFINITIONS

 

INDEX

Balance Sheet Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios, 40
Balance Sheet Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios, 44
Balance Sheet Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios, 36
Balance Sheet Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario, 8
Balance Sheet Credit Extension & Cost Reduction, 56
Balance Sheet Historic, 2
Balance Sheet Long-Term Loan Scenarios, 32
Balance Sheet New Capital Injection Scenarios, 12
Balance Sheet Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios, 52
Balance Sheet Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios, 48
Balance Sheet Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenario, 20
Balance Sheet Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenario, 24
Balance Sheet Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenario, 28
Balance Sheet Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios, 16

CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS FORECASTS, 7
Costs & Margins Historic, 3

Financial data definitions, 61
Financial forecast notes, 6
Financial Ratios Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenario, 42
Financial Ratios Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenario, 46
Financial Ratios Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenario, 38
Financial Ratios Base Forecast : Median Market, 10
Financial Ratios Credit Extension & Cost Reduction, 58
Financial Ratios Long-Term Loan Scenarios, 34
Financial Ratios New Capital Injection Scenarios, 14
Financial Ratios Profit Improvement: Best Scenario, 54
Financial Ratios Profit Improvement: Worst Scenario, 50
Financial Ratios Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation, 22
Financial Ratios Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation, 26
Financial Ratios Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation, 30
Financial Ratios Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios, 18
Financial Ratios & Margins Historic, 4

HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA, 1

Operational Costs Asset Sales: 10% of Assets, 41
Operational Costs Asset Sales: 25% of Assets, 45
Operational Costs Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenario, 37
Operational Costs Base Forecast : Median Market, 9
Operational Costs Credit Extension & Cost Reduction, 57
Operational Costs Long-Term Loan Scenarios, 33
Operational Costs New Capital Injection Scenarios, 13
Operational Costs Profit Improvement: Best Scenario, 53
Operational Costs Profit Improvement: Worst Scenario, 49
Operational Costs Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation, 21
Operational Costs Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation, 25
Operational Costs Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation, 29
Operational Costs Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios, 17
Operational Margins Asset Sales: 10% of Assets, 43
Operational Margins Asset Sales: 25% of Assets, 47
Operational Margins Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenario, 39
Operational Margins Base Forecast : Median Market, 11
Operational Margins Credit Extension & Cost Reduction, 59
Operational Margins Long-Term Loan Scenarios, 35
Operational Margins New Capital Injection Scenario, 15
Operational Margins Profit Improvement: Best Scenario, 55
Operational Margins Profit Improvement: Worst Scenario, 51
Operational Margins Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation, 23
Operational Margins Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation, 27
Operational Margins Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation, 31
Operational Margins Short-Term Loan: Base Scenario, 19
Operational Ratios & Margins Historic, 5